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14th February ’17 – Midweek Review

Below is a summary of all tips for this midweek round of Football League fixtures (fixtures taking place in the Championship, League One and League Two on 14th February). This post was originally published on Wednesday 15th February at 10.20am UK time. All odds were taken from Betfair on the afternoon of Monday 13th February. Odds may have changed since.

There were 12 home tips in all this midweek and 8 away tips. The home tips are at an average of 2.76 and the away tips at an average of 4.93.

UPDATE – 6/20 tips won. This led to a 36.5 point loss, which is a -18.25% yield on a total stake of 200pts this gameweek.

SINCE LAUNCH – 84/253 tips won, 19 point profit, which is a +0.4% yield on a total stake of 4,280 points.

WHAT HAPPENED – A small loss this midweek – Derby, Norwich, Rotherham and Accrington all had late leads but couldn’t hang on. If Accrington hadn’t conceded a 89th minute equaliser in a 4-4 draw then we would have had a 2.5pt profit. Home performance (4.5pt profit) better than away performance (31pt loss).

Short Prices – these were the ten shortest priced tips for those of you who love some shorter priced action in your acca and need some inspiration.

These selections were this midweek (5/10 won):

  • Brighton
  • – LOSS

  • Fulham
  • – WIN

  • Wolves
  • – LOSS

  • Derby
  • – LOSS

  • Preston
  • – WIN

  • Leeds
  • – WIN

  • Wycombe
  • – LOSS

  • Oldham
  • – WIN

  • Norwich
  • – LOSS

  • Fleetwood
  • – WIN

Model Favourites – these were the ten tips which have the largest implied difference between Bookmaker Odds and Model Odds according to our model. The larger the difference between these, the larger the stake under our differential staking plan.

These selections were this midweek (4/10 won):

  • Bristol Rovers
  • – LOSS

  • Crawley
  • – WIN

  • Bury
  • – LOSS

  • Fleetwood
  • – WIN

  • Blackpool
  • – LOSS

  • Preston
  • – WIN

  • Fulham
  • – WIN

  • Rotherham
  • – LOSS

  • Wolves
  • – LOSS

  • Norwich
  • – LOSS

I have uploaded the below full review file to Google Drive for now – you should be able to view and download this document yourself, or to copy and paste data from it for whatever purposes you might wish to use it for.

14th February Midweek FINAL